Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and ICON, indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under stable high pressure and light southwesterly winds, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 21–22°C outcomes, reflecting typical mid-September climatology after earlier warmth and a recent cooldown. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting high implied probabilities near these values while allowing modest upside to 23°C if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Key resolution hinges on official maximum readings from Warsaw stations amid light winds that limit mixing. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 19?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 19?
22°C 59%
21°C 32%
23°C 11%
20°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 19, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
32%
22°C
59%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 59%
21°C 32%
23°C 11%
20°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 19, 2026
17°C or below
$499 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$414 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,249 Vol.
32%
22°C
$1,330 Vol.
59%
23°C
$971 Vol.
11%
24°C
$220 Vol.
1%
25°C
$253 Vol.
1%
26°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and ICON, indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under stable high pressure and light southwesterly winds, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 21–22°C outcomes, reflecting typical mid-September climatology after earlier warmth and a recent cooldown. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting high implied probabilities near these values while allowing modest upside to 23°C if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Key resolution hinges on official maximum readings from Warsaw stations amid light winds that limit mixing. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,587Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and ICON, indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under stable high pressure and light southwesterly winds, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 21–22°C outcomes, reflecting typical mid-September climatology after earlier warmth and a recent cooldown. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting high implied probabilities near these values while allowing modest upside to 23°C if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Key resolution hinges on official maximum readings from Warsaw stations amid light winds that limit mixing. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,587Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and ICON, indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under stable high pressure and light southwesterly winds, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 21–22°C outcomes, reflecting typical mid-September climatology after earlier warmth and a recent cooldown. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting high implied probabilities near these values while allowing modest upside to 23°C if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Key resolution hinges on official maximum readings from Warsaw stations amid light winds that limit mixing. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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