Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 18 point to fine, dry conditions under a northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with easterly winds of force 4 (occasionally 5 offshore) and low rain probability supporting daytime heating to a maximum of 32°C. This aligns with the market's near-even split between 31°C and 32°C implied probabilities, as the expected range of 27–32°C leaves room for minor variations from exact wind speeds, humidity levels around 55–85%, or station-specific readings at the Observatory. Historical mid-September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but persistent clear skies and solar input favor the upper end absent unexpected cloud development.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
32°C 38%
31°C 37%
30°C 14%
33°C 11%
$14,380 Vol.
$14,380 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
37%
32°C
38%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 37%
30°C 14%
33°C 11%
$14,380 Vol.
$14,380 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
37%
32°C
38%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 18 point to fine, dry conditions under a northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with easterly winds of force 4 (occasionally 5 offshore) and low rain probability supporting daytime heating to a maximum of 32°C. This aligns with the market's near-even split between 31°C and 32°C implied probabilities, as the expected range of 27–32°C leaves room for minor variations from exact wind speeds, humidity levels around 55–85%, or station-specific readings at the Observatory. Historical mid-September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but persistent clear skies and solar input favor the upper end absent unexpected cloud development.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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