Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a sharp temperature drop in Wuhan driven by northeasterly cold air advection ahead of a frontal system, with moderate rain expected on September 17. Official guidance centers on a daily maximum near 22°C amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 80 percent, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads and regional analogs suggest the highest reading could settle between 21–23°C depending on exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 17?
22°C 38%
23°C 22%
21°C 22%
20°C or below 11%
20°C or below
11%
21°C
22%
22°C
38%
23°C
22%
24°C
8%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 38%
23°C 22%
21°C 22%
20°C or below 11%
20°C or below
11%
21°C
22%
22°C
38%
23°C
22%
24°C
8%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a sharp temperature drop in Wuhan driven by northeasterly cold air advection ahead of a frontal system, with moderate rain expected on September 17. Official guidance centers on a daily maximum near 22°C amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 80 percent, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads and regional analogs suggest the highest reading could settle between 21–23°C depending on exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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