Official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a daytime high near 20°C for London on September 16, driven by a westerly Atlantic flow with partly cloudy skies and moderate winds that limit strong warming. This aligns with typical mid-September conditions after earlier warmer spells, with ensemble guidance showing limited potential for outliers above 21°C or below 19°C given stable pressure patterns and no significant warm advection. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with implied probabilities concentrated around 19–21°C as resolution nears based on official observations. Updated model runs overnight will refine any final adjustments before the market settles.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on September 16?
20°C 61%
19°C 20%
21°C 13%
18°C 5%
$15,501 Vol.
$15,501 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
20%
20°C
61%
21°C
13%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 61%
19°C 20%
21°C 13%
18°C 5%
$15,501 Vol.
$15,501 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
20%
20°C
61%
21°C
13%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a daytime high near 20°C for London on September 16, driven by a westerly Atlantic flow with partly cloudy skies and moderate winds that limit strong warming. This aligns with typical mid-September conditions after earlier warmer spells, with ensemble guidance showing limited potential for outliers above 21°C or below 19°C given stable pressure patterns and no significant warm advection. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with implied probabilities concentrated around 19–21°C as resolution nears based on official observations. Updated model runs overnight will refine any final adjustments before the market settles.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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