**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C for September 14 under the influence of a persistent northeast monsoon, with sunny intervals, a few showers, and isolated thunderstorms mainly in the morning and evening.** This setup favors modest afternoon heating as easterly to northeasterly winds (force 3–4) limit extreme warming while scattered convection may suppress peaks below model potential. Historical September climatology shows average daily maxima near 31°C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current guidance. Ensemble and global model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak—cloud timing, shower intensity, and boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C—explaining the tight market clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Updated HKO briefings and new model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
31°C 28%
32°C 26%
30°C 18%
29°C 16%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
16%
30°C
18%
31°C
28%
32°C
26%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
4%
31°C 28%
32°C 26%
30°C 18%
29°C 16%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
16%
30°C
18%
31°C
28%
32°C
26%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C for September 14 under the influence of a persistent northeast monsoon, with sunny intervals, a few showers, and isolated thunderstorms mainly in the morning and evening.** This setup favors modest afternoon heating as easterly to northeasterly winds (force 3–4) limit extreme warming while scattered convection may suppress peaks below model potential. Historical September climatology shows average daily maxima near 31°C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current guidance. Ensemble and global model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak—cloud timing, shower intensity, and boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C—explaining the tight market clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Updated HKO briefings and new model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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