Northeast monsoon flow over southern China has maintained mostly dry conditions through mid-September, supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C in recent days, but a broad low-pressure area developing over the central South China Sea is forecast to increase cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Hong Kong by September 12. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance currently projects a 30°C maximum under these conditions, with stronger northeasterly winds and higher precipitation probability expected to limit solar heating. Model consensus on exact timing and coverage of rain remains the key variable that could push readings to 31–32°C if clearer intervals prevail or cap them near 30°C with persistent cloud. Updated HKO briefings and new model runs will likely drive the tight 30–32°C market clustering.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
31°C 33%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
25%
31°C
33%
32°C
21%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$321 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
6%
28°C
$20 Vol.
7%
29°C
$70 Vol.
17%
30°C
$101 Vol.
25%
31°C
$435 Vol.
33%
32°C
$11 Vol.
21%
33°C
$200 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over southern China has maintained mostly dry conditions through mid-September, supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C in recent days, but a broad low-pressure area developing over the central South China Sea is forecast to increase cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Hong Kong by September 12. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance currently projects a 30°C maximum under these conditions, with stronger northeasterly winds and higher precipitation probability expected to limit solar heating. Model consensus on exact timing and coverage of rain remains the key variable that could push readings to 31–32°C if clearer intervals prevail or cap them near 30°C with persistent cloud. Updated HKO briefings and new model runs will likely drive the tight 30–32°C market clustering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,269Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over southern China has maintained mostly dry conditions through mid-September, supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C in recent days, but a broad low-pressure area developing over the central South China Sea is forecast to increase cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Hong Kong by September 12. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance currently projects a 30°C maximum under these conditions, with stronger northeasterly winds and higher precipitation probability expected to limit solar heating. Model consensus on exact timing and coverage of rain remains the key variable that could push readings to 31–32°C if clearer intervals prevail or cap them near 30°C with persistent cloud. Updated HKO briefings and new model runs will likely drive the tight 30–32°C market clustering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,269Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow over southern China has maintained mostly dry conditions through mid-September, supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C in recent days, but a broad low-pressure area developing over the central South China Sea is forecast to increase cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms over Hong Kong by September 12. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance currently projects a 30°C maximum under these conditions, with stronger northeasterly winds and higher precipitation probability expected to limit solar heating. Model consensus on exact timing and coverage of rain remains the key variable that could push readings to 31–32°C if clearer intervals prevail or cap them near 30°C with persistent cloud. Updated HKO briefings and new model runs will likely drive the tight 30–32°C market clustering.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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