Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models converge on a daytime high of 100-102°F in Austin on September 12, supported by mostly sunny skies, southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. This consensus underpins the market's emphasis on the 100-101°F outcome at 59% implied probability, with 102-103°F holding secondary support at 36%. Late-summer conditions typical for central Texas, including elevated heat indices near 107°F, align with recent model runs showing little overnight change. Final hourly observations will determine resolution, with low uncertainty reflected in subdued probabilities for extremes outside the 98-103°F range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on September 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 12?
100-101°F 59%
102-103°F 37%
98-99°F 6%
104-105°F 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
59%
102-103°F
37%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
2%
110°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 59%
102-103°F 37%
98-99°F 6%
104-105°F 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
91°F or below
$140 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$94 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$476 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$84 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$158 Vol.
6%
100-101°F
$1,778 Vol.
59%
102-103°F
$695 Vol.
37%
104-105°F
$6 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
4%
108-109°F
$0 Vol.
2%
110°F or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models converge on a daytime high of 100-102°F in Austin on September 12, supported by mostly sunny skies, southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. This consensus underpins the market's emphasis on the 100-101°F outcome at 59% implied probability, with 102-103°F holding secondary support at 36%. Late-summer conditions typical for central Texas, including elevated heat indices near 107°F, align with recent model runs showing little overnight change. Final hourly observations will determine resolution, with low uncertainty reflected in subdued probabilities for extremes outside the 98-103°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,442Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models converge on a daytime high of 100-102°F in Austin on September 12, supported by mostly sunny skies, southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. This consensus underpins the market's emphasis on the 100-101°F outcome at 59% implied probability, with 102-103°F holding secondary support at 36%. Late-summer conditions typical for central Texas, including elevated heat indices near 107°F, align with recent model runs showing little overnight change. Final hourly observations will determine resolution, with low uncertainty reflected in subdued probabilities for extremes outside the 98-103°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,442Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models converge on a daytime high of 100-102°F in Austin on September 12, supported by mostly sunny skies, southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. This consensus underpins the market's emphasis on the 100-101°F outcome at 59% implied probability, with 102-103°F holding secondary support at 36%. Late-summer conditions typical for central Texas, including elevated heat indices near 107°F, align with recent model runs showing little overnight change. Final hourly observations will determine resolution, with low uncertainty reflected in subdued probabilities for extremes outside the 98-103°F range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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