National Weather Service and multiple forecast models project a high near 99°F for Austin on September 10 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability. This reflects persistent high pressure and warm advection typical for central Texas in early September, where climatological averages reach only 92°F but recent analogs often hit the mid-to-upper 90s. Humidity will elevate heat indices above 100°F without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Minor model spreads around 96-101°F explain the secondary probabilities for adjacent bins, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on September 10?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 10?
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 19%
96-97°F 14%
94-95°F 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 10, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 19%
96-97°F 14%
94-95°F 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 10, 2026
89°F or below
$180 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$98 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$24 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$3,403 Vol.
14%
98-99°F
$534 Vol.
52%
100-101°F
$1,267 Vol.
19%
102-103°F
$263 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$147 Vol.
1%
108°F or higher
$201 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and multiple forecast models project a high near 99°F for Austin on September 10 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability. This reflects persistent high pressure and warm advection typical for central Texas in early September, where climatological averages reach only 92°F but recent analogs often hit the mid-to-upper 90s. Humidity will elevate heat indices above 100°F without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Minor model spreads around 96-101°F explain the secondary probabilities for adjacent bins, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,117Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and multiple forecast models project a high near 99°F for Austin on September 10 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability. This reflects persistent high pressure and warm advection typical for central Texas in early September, where climatological averages reach only 92°F but recent analogs often hit the mid-to-upper 90s. Humidity will elevate heat indices above 100°F without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Minor model spreads around 96-101°F explain the secondary probabilities for adjacent bins, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,117Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and multiple forecast models project a high near 99°F for Austin on September 10 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability. This reflects persistent high pressure and warm advection typical for central Texas in early September, where climatological averages reach only 92°F but recent analogs often hit the mid-to-upper 90s. Humidity will elevate heat indices above 100°F without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Minor model spreads around 96-101°F explain the secondary probabilities for adjacent bins, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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