Recent atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin, including persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and northerly winds from a passing cold front, have driven temperatures downward from earlier-week peaks above 30°C. Official forecasts and ensemble models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for September 9, with rain limiting further warming while preventing sharp drops. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for 27°C. Scenarios that could shift odds include stronger-than-expected convective activity suppressing the high below 26°C or clearer breaks allowing brief spikes toward 28–29°C before resolution based on verified station readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
27°C 98.1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
BAGO
$85,547 Vol.
BAGO
$85,547 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
98%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98.1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
BAGO
$85,547 Vol.
BAGO
$85,547 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
$6,150 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,404 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,022 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,889 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$12,135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$22,294 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$18,962 Vol.
98%
28°C
$6,740 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5,834 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,086 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,032 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin, including persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and northerly winds from a passing cold front, have driven temperatures downward from earlier-week peaks above 30°C. Official forecasts and ensemble models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for September 9, with rain limiting further warming while preventing sharp drops. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for 27°C. Scenarios that could shift odds include stronger-than-expected convective activity suppressing the high below 26°C or clearer breaks allowing brief spikes toward 28–29°C before resolution based on verified station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$85,547Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin, including persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and northerly winds from a passing cold front, have driven temperatures downward from earlier-week peaks above 30°C. Official forecasts and ensemble models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for September 9, with rain limiting further warming while preventing sharp drops. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for 27°C. Scenarios that could shift odds include stronger-than-expected convective activity suppressing the high below 26°C or clearer breaks allowing brief spikes toward 28–29°C before resolution based on verified station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85,547Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin, including persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and northerly winds from a passing cold front, have driven temperatures downward from earlier-week peaks above 30°C. Official forecasts and ensemble models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for September 9, with rain limiting further warming while preventing sharp drops. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for 27°C. Scenarios that could shift odds include stronger-than-expected convective activity suppressing the high below 26°C or clearer breaks allowing brief spikes toward 28–29°C before resolution based on verified station readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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