Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate a period of widespread rain and cloud cover arriving over Chengdu by September 9–10, driven by a strengthening low-pressure system and enhanced moisture transport. This pattern is expected to limit daytime heating while promoting radiative cooling overnight, positioning minimum temperatures most likely between 18–20 °C. Historical September climatology for the Sichuan Basin shows typical lows near 18–19 °C during similar rainy episodes, supporting trader emphasis on mid-to-upper teens outcomes even as model spread and timing uncertainties sustain elevated probabilities for warmer thresholds above 24 °C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
24°C or higher 75%
14°C or below 73%
23°C 38%
19°C 30%
14°C or below
73%
15°C
12%
16°C
21%
17°C
23%
18°C
24%
19°C
30%
20°C
28%
21°C
21%
22°C
22%
23°C
38%
24°C or higher
75%
24°C or higher 75%
14°C or below 73%
23°C 38%
19°C 30%
14°C or below
73%
15°C
12%
16°C
21%
17°C
23%
18°C
24%
19°C
30%
20°C
28%
21°C
21%
22°C
22%
23°C
38%
24°C or higher
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate a period of widespread rain and cloud cover arriving over Chengdu by September 9–10, driven by a strengthening low-pressure system and enhanced moisture transport. This pattern is expected to limit daytime heating while promoting radiative cooling overnight, positioning minimum temperatures most likely between 18–20 °C. Historical September climatology for the Sichuan Basin shows typical lows near 18–19 °C during similar rainy episodes, supporting trader emphasis on mid-to-upper teens outcomes even as model spread and timing uncertainties sustain elevated probabilities for warmer thresholds above 24 °C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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