Latest forecast models from regional and international sources project a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 10 under subtropical late-summer conditions marked by high humidity, light northeasterly winds, and afternoon convective activity. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probabilities to these outcomes because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, with potential for brief clearing to allow brief spikes near 33°C or localized rain-cooled suppression toward 30°C. September climatology places the long-term average high near 31°C, and current steering patterns favor typical thunderstorm development that limits extreme deviations. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in these tightly clustered probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?
31°C 37%
32°C 31%
30°C 15%
33°C 8%
$12,239 Vol.
$12,239 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
37%
32°C
31%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 31%
30°C 15%
33°C 8%
$12,239 Vol.
$12,239 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
37%
32°C
31%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from regional and international sources project a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 10 under subtropical late-summer conditions marked by high humidity, light northeasterly winds, and afternoon convective activity. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probabilities to these outcomes because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, with potential for brief clearing to allow brief spikes near 33°C or localized rain-cooled suppression toward 30°C. September climatology places the long-term average high near 31°C, and current steering patterns favor typical thunderstorm development that limits extreme deviations. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in these tightly clustered probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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