**Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a 27°C high for Toronto on September 9 amid morning showers, afternoon thunderstorm risk, and southwesterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, yet market-implied probabilities peak at 24–25°C (combined ~57%).** Traders appear to discount the official outlook because persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread precipitation will reduce solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below the guidance. Southwesterly flow advects moisture from the Great Lakes region, favoring overcast conditions that historically cap highs several degrees cooler than clear-sky scenarios. With September 9 climatological averages near 23°C and recent model runs showing variability in rainfall timing, the closely matched 24–25°C outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether convection develops early enough to limit afternoon warming. New model guidance and the morning update on September 9 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Toronto on September 9?
25°C 30%
24°C 29%
26°C 17%
23°C 15%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
15%
24°C
29%
25°C
30%
26°C
17%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
25°C 30%
24°C 29%
26°C 17%
23°C 15%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
15%
24°C
29%
25°C
30%
26°C
17%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a 27°C high for Toronto on September 9 amid morning showers, afternoon thunderstorm risk, and southwesterly winds gusting to 40 km/h, yet market-implied probabilities peak at 24–25°C (combined ~57%).** Traders appear to discount the official outlook because persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread precipitation will reduce solar insolation and suppress peak temperatures below the guidance. Southwesterly flow advects moisture from the Great Lakes region, favoring overcast conditions that historically cap highs several degrees cooler than clear-sky scenarios. With September 9 climatological averages near 23°C and recent model runs showing variability in rainfall timing, the closely matched 24–25°C outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether convection develops early enough to limit afternoon warming. New model guidance and the morning update on September 9 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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