**Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 18–19°C for Amsterdam on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (18°C at 46%, 19°C at 32.5%).** Westerly to northwesterly flow associated with Atlantic low-pressure systems is delivering scattered showers and substantial cloud cover, which restricts daytime solar heating and caps temperatures near seasonal norms. Historical data place the long-term average high for this date around 19–20°C at Schiphol, but persistent precipitation and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) are suppressing the peak by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Recent model runs (GFS, ECMWF) show little spread, with afternoon readings stabilizing near 17–18°C under lingering rain or drizzle before partial clearing allows a brief reach to 18–19°C. Lower outcomes (17°C or below) remain possible only if showers persist longer than expected, while 20°C+ would require unexpected clearing and reduced wind—scenarios assigned low probability given the current synoptic pattern. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with updates from official agencies like the Dutch KNMI likely to be the next key catalyst before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 9?
18°C 40%
19°C 34%
17°C 12%
20°C 8%
$25,716 Vol.
$25,716 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
6%
17°C
12%
18°C
40%
19°C
34%
20°C
8%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 40%
19°C 34%
17°C 12%
20°C 8%
$25,716 Vol.
$25,716 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
6%
17°C
12%
18°C
40%
19°C
34%
20°C
8%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 18–19°C for Amsterdam on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (18°C at 46%, 19°C at 32.5%).** Westerly to northwesterly flow associated with Atlantic low-pressure systems is delivering scattered showers and substantial cloud cover, which restricts daytime solar heating and caps temperatures near seasonal norms. Historical data place the long-term average high for this date around 19–20°C at Schiphol, but persistent precipitation and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) are suppressing the peak by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Recent model runs (GFS, ECMWF) show little spread, with afternoon readings stabilizing near 17–18°C under lingering rain or drizzle before partial clearing allows a brief reach to 18–19°C. Lower outcomes (17°C or below) remain possible only if showers persist longer than expected, while 20°C+ would require unexpected clearing and reduced wind—scenarios assigned low probability given the current synoptic pattern. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with updates from official agencies like the Dutch KNMI likely to be the next key catalyst before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong