Stable high-pressure conditions and northeast winds are supporting trader consensus around 23–27°C for Istanbul’s September 11 maximum, with market-implied odds clustered near 20% for each of those outcomes. Clear skies and moderate solar insolation under the current anticyclone favor daytime warming into the mid-to-upper 20s, consistent with late-summer climatology and recent model runs showing little day-to-day change. Minor variations in forecast wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities dispersed rather than concentrated on any single threshold. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the expected range holds or narrows ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
25°C 53%
26°C 37%
24°C 22%
23°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
10%
24°C
22%
25°C
53%
26°C
37%
27°C
9%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
4%
25°C 53%
26°C 37%
24°C 22%
23°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$40 Vol.
22%
25°C
$31 Vol.
53%
26°C
$0 Vol.
37%
27°C
$0 Vol.
9%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and northeast winds are supporting trader consensus around 23–27°C for Istanbul’s September 11 maximum, with market-implied odds clustered near 20% for each of those outcomes. Clear skies and moderate solar insolation under the current anticyclone favor daytime warming into the mid-to-upper 20s, consistent with late-summer climatology and recent model runs showing little day-to-day change. Minor variations in forecast wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities dispersed rather than concentrated on any single threshold. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the expected range holds or narrows ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$71Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and northeast winds are supporting trader consensus around 23–27°C for Istanbul’s September 11 maximum, with market-implied odds clustered near 20% for each of those outcomes. Clear skies and moderate solar insolation under the current anticyclone favor daytime warming into the mid-to-upper 20s, consistent with late-summer climatology and recent model runs showing little day-to-day change. Minor variations in forecast wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities dispersed rather than concentrated on any single threshold. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the expected range holds or narrows ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and northeast winds are supporting trader consensus around 23–27°C for Istanbul’s September 11 maximum, with market-implied odds clustered near 20% for each of those outcomes. Clear skies and moderate solar insolation under the current anticyclone favor daytime warming into the mid-to-upper 20s, consistent with late-summer climatology and recent model runs showing little day-to-day change. Minor variations in forecast wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities dispersed rather than concentrated on any single threshold. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the expected range holds or narrows ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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