Current numerical weather models from agencies including the Met Office and global ensembles show a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11 most likely near 19–21°C, driven by moderate southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front that brings cloud cover, light rain, and limited daytime heating. This places the market-implied peak at 20°C (56.5% probability) ahead of 21°C, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima average near 19–20°C at Schiphol. Forecast uncertainty stems from timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could cap or briefly elevate readings by 1–2°C, with latest runs showing consensus around these values and minimal risk of extremes. Updated model guidance later today will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11?
20°C 55%
21°C 27%
19°C 12%
22°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
12%
20°C
55%
21°C
27%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 55%
21°C 27%
19°C 12%
22°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
$154 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$189 Vol.
2%
18°C
$161 Vol.
3%
19°C
$298 Vol.
12%
20°C
$1,004 Vol.
55%
21°C
$1,492 Vol.
27%
22°C
$223 Vol.
3%
23°C
$263 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$226 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from agencies including the Met Office and global ensembles show a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11 most likely near 19–21°C, driven by moderate southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front that brings cloud cover, light rain, and limited daytime heating. This places the market-implied peak at 20°C (56.5% probability) ahead of 21°C, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima average near 19–20°C at Schiphol. Forecast uncertainty stems from timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could cap or briefly elevate readings by 1–2°C, with latest runs showing consensus around these values and minimal risk of extremes. Updated model guidance later today will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,296Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from agencies including the Met Office and global ensembles show a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11 most likely near 19–21°C, driven by moderate southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front that brings cloud cover, light rain, and limited daytime heating. This places the market-implied peak at 20°C (56.5% probability) ahead of 21°C, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima average near 19–20°C at Schiphol. Forecast uncertainty stems from timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could cap or briefly elevate readings by 1–2°C, with latest runs showing consensus around these values and minimal risk of extremes. Updated model guidance later today will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,296Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from agencies including the Met Office and global ensembles show a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11 most likely near 19–21°C, driven by moderate southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front that brings cloud cover, light rain, and limited daytime heating. This places the market-implied peak at 20°C (56.5% probability) ahead of 21°C, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima average near 19–20°C at Schiphol. Forecast uncertainty stems from timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could cap or briefly elevate readings by 1–2°C, with latest runs showing consensus around these values and minimal risk of extremes. Updated model guidance later today will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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