Recent cooling from a cold front and heavy rainfall has suppressed maximum temperatures in Chengdu ahead of September 12, with official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converging on highs of 22–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the distribution of market-implied odds tightly clustered around 23–26 °C. Key variables include exact timing of any clearing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that could nudge readings by 1–2 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official daily bulletins expected in the next 48 hours will refine the outlook before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 12?
24°C 21%
25°C 18%
23°C 15%
22°C 13%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
15%
24°C
24%
25°C
18%
26°C
11%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 21%
25°C 18%
23°C 15%
22°C 13%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
15%
24°C
24%
25°C
18%
26°C
11%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from a cold front and heavy rainfall has suppressed maximum temperatures in Chengdu ahead of September 12, with official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converging on highs of 22–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the distribution of market-implied odds tightly clustered around 23–26 °C. Key variables include exact timing of any clearing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that could nudge readings by 1–2 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official daily bulletins expected in the next 48 hours will refine the outlook before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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