Recent model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a stable high-pressure ridge and persistent northeasterly flow maintaining mostly clear skies over Istanbul on September 9, limiting daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature near 25–26 °C. Light to moderate winds off the Black Sea add a modest cooling effect, while dew points in the low teens Celsius and low humidity support efficient radiational cooling overnight without significant moisture advection. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with minimal model disagreement on the thermal profile, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 25 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by 1 °C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
25°C 65%
26°C 20%
24°C 14%
23°C 2%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
14%
25°C
65%
26°C
20%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 65%
26°C 20%
24°C 14%
23°C 2%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
14%
25°C
65%
26°C
20%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a stable high-pressure ridge and persistent northeasterly flow maintaining mostly clear skies over Istanbul on September 9, limiting daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature near 25–26 °C. Light to moderate winds off the Black Sea add a modest cooling effect, while dew points in the low teens Celsius and low humidity support efficient radiational cooling overnight without significant moisture advection. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with minimal model disagreement on the thermal profile, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 25 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by 1 °C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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