Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place the September 10 high for New York City near 87°F amid a warm southerly flow, above-average humidity, and partial cloud cover that could limit peak heating. Model consensus and recent runs support an upper-80s maximum, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 86–89°F brackets at roughly 82% combined. Differentiation between the leading 88–89°F (46%) and 86–87°F (36.5%) outcomes hinges on small uncertainties in afternoon clearing, wind speeds, and any light shower timing that might shave a degree or two from the peak, especially at urban stations like Central Park. Historical September averages near 78°F underscore the anomalous warmth, while 20–30% precipitation chances introduce modest downside risk for the highest bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on September 10?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 10?
88-89°F 45%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 10%
90-91°F 9%
BAGO
$19,220 Vol.
BAGO
$19,220 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 45%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 10%
90-91°F 9%
BAGO
$19,220 Vol.
BAGO
$19,220 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
75°F or below
$365 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$57 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,059 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,365 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,275 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$2,648 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$4,654 Vol.
37%
88-89°F
$5,135 Vol.
45%
90-91°F
$1,976 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$487 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place the September 10 high for New York City near 87°F amid a warm southerly flow, above-average humidity, and partial cloud cover that could limit peak heating. Model consensus and recent runs support an upper-80s maximum, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 86–89°F brackets at roughly 82% combined. Differentiation between the leading 88–89°F (46%) and 86–87°F (36.5%) outcomes hinges on small uncertainties in afternoon clearing, wind speeds, and any light shower timing that might shave a degree or two from the peak, especially at urban stations like Central Park. Historical September averages near 78°F underscore the anomalous warmth, while 20–30% precipitation chances introduce modest downside risk for the highest bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
Volume
$19,220Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 2:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place the September 10 high for New York City near 87°F amid a warm southerly flow, above-average humidity, and partial cloud cover that could limit peak heating. Model consensus and recent runs support an upper-80s maximum, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 86–89°F brackets at roughly 82% combined. Differentiation between the leading 88–89°F (46%) and 86–87°F (36.5%) outcomes hinges on small uncertainties in afternoon clearing, wind speeds, and any light shower timing that might shave a degree or two from the peak, especially at urban stations like Central Park. Historical September averages near 78°F underscore the anomalous warmth, while 20–30% precipitation chances introduce modest downside risk for the highest bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,220Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 2:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place the September 10 high for New York City near 87°F amid a warm southerly flow, above-average humidity, and partial cloud cover that could limit peak heating. Model consensus and recent runs support an upper-80s maximum, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 86–89°F brackets at roughly 82% combined. Differentiation between the leading 88–89°F (46%) and 86–87°F (36.5%) outcomes hinges on small uncertainties in afternoon clearing, wind speeds, and any light shower timing that might shave a degree or two from the peak, especially at urban stations like Central Park. Historical September averages near 78°F underscore the anomalous warmth, while 20–30% precipitation chances introduce modest downside risk for the highest bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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