Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for September 11 points to northwest winds and clearing skies after a warm period, supporting overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s at Central Park, near the historical September average of 63°F. Persistent warmth from recent days, with minimums mostly in the 60s, and the urban heat island effect contribute to market-implied odds favoring 70–71°F at 48% and 72–73°F at 31%, reflecting trader assessment of limited radiational cooling under the expected conditions. Key resolution factors include the official daily minimum at the primary NYC station, with potential for slight upward revisions if winds remain light or cloud cover lingers longer than modeled.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in NYC on September 11?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 11?
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 14%
66-67°F 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 14%
66-67°F 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
61°F or below
$22 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$22 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$36 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$101 Vol.
5%
68-69°F
$508 Vol.
14%
70-71°F
$1,962 Vol.
38%
72-73°F
$537 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$115 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$21 Vol.
1%
80°F or higher
$21 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for September 11 points to northwest winds and clearing skies after a warm period, supporting overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s at Central Park, near the historical September average of 63°F. Persistent warmth from recent days, with minimums mostly in the 60s, and the urban heat island effect contribute to market-implied odds favoring 70–71°F at 48% and 72–73°F at 31%, reflecting trader assessment of limited radiational cooling under the expected conditions. Key resolution factors include the official daily minimum at the primary NYC station, with potential for slight upward revisions if winds remain light or cloud cover lingers longer than modeled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,346Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for September 11 points to northwest winds and clearing skies after a warm period, supporting overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s at Central Park, near the historical September average of 63°F. Persistent warmth from recent days, with minimums mostly in the 60s, and the urban heat island effect contribute to market-implied odds favoring 70–71°F at 48% and 72–73°F at 31%, reflecting trader assessment of limited radiational cooling under the expected conditions. Key resolution factors include the official daily minimum at the primary NYC station, with potential for slight upward revisions if winds remain light or cloud cover lingers longer than modeled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,346Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for September 11 points to northwest winds and clearing skies after a warm period, supporting overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s at Central Park, near the historical September average of 63°F. Persistent warmth from recent days, with minimums mostly in the 60s, and the urban heat island effect contribute to market-implied odds favoring 70–71°F at 48% and 72–73°F at 31%, reflecting trader assessment of limited radiational cooling under the expected conditions. Key resolution factors include the official daily minimum at the primary NYC station, with potential for slight upward revisions if winds remain light or cloud cover lingers longer than modeled.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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