Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C in Paris on September 10 under stable high pressure and light northwest flow, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.3°C for the date, supporting the market’s leading 22°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though small revisions in afternoon mixing or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1°C, explaining secondary support for 21°C and 23°C. Official Météo-France and European model updates expected overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on September 10?
22°C 56%
23°C 19%
21°C 17%
24°C 5%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
17%
22°C
56%
23°C
19%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 56%
23°C 19%
21°C 17%
24°C 5%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
17%
22°C
56%
23°C
19%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C in Paris on September 10 under stable high pressure and light northwest flow, with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.3°C for the date, supporting the market’s leading 22°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though small revisions in afternoon mixing or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1°C, explaining secondary support for 21°C and 23°C. Official Météo-France and European model updates expected overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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