Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a Shenzhen high near 31–32°C for September 9, reflecting typical early-September subtropical conditions with high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. Recent observations show partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 30s on September 8, with model runs indicating potential convective activity that could shave 1–2°C off peaks if rain develops earlier than expected. This uncertainty between 31°C and 33°C outcomes drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities, as small shifts in cloud cover or timing of precipitation can alter the daily maximum under the region's monsoon-influenced regime. Updated regional forecasts and radar trends ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
32°C 38%
33°C 28%
31°C 16%
34°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
16%
32°C
38%
33°C
28%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 28%
31°C 16%
34°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
$137 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$363 Vol.
3%
29°C
$166 Vol.
4%
30°C
$351 Vol.
7%
31°C
$1,374 Vol.
16%
32°C
$617 Vol.
38%
33°C
$390 Vol.
28%
34°C
$148 Vol.
8%
35°C
$435 Vol.
3%
36°C
$189 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$723 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a Shenzhen high near 31–32°C for September 9, reflecting typical early-September subtropical conditions with high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. Recent observations show partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 30s on September 8, with model runs indicating potential convective activity that could shave 1–2°C off peaks if rain develops earlier than expected. This uncertainty between 31°C and 33°C outcomes drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities, as small shifts in cloud cover or timing of precipitation can alter the daily maximum under the region's monsoon-influenced regime. Updated regional forecasts and radar trends ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,896Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a Shenzhen high near 31–32°C for September 9, reflecting typical early-September subtropical conditions with high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. Recent observations show partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 30s on September 8, with model runs indicating potential convective activity that could shave 1–2°C off peaks if rain develops earlier than expected. This uncertainty between 31°C and 33°C outcomes drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities, as small shifts in cloud cover or timing of precipitation can alter the daily maximum under the region's monsoon-influenced regime. Updated regional forecasts and radar trends ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,896Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a Shenzhen high near 31–32°C for September 9, reflecting typical early-September subtropical conditions with high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. Recent observations show partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 30s on September 8, with model runs indicating potential convective activity that could shave 1–2°C off peaks if rain develops earlier than expected. This uncertainty between 31°C and 33°C outcomes drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities, as small shifts in cloud cover or timing of precipitation can alter the daily maximum under the region's monsoon-influenced regime. Updated regional forecasts and radar trends ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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