Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico indicate a high near 22–24°C for Mexico City on September 9, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds limiting peak insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, but afternoon convection typical of the rainy season often caps temperatures below seasonal norms. Model spread in precipitation timing and cloud thickness creates uncertainty between 23°C and 25°C outcomes, as stronger heating under partial clearing could push readings higher while sustained rain would suppress them. Traders appear to weigh these variables against climatological baselines when assessing the closely matched 24°C and 25°C+ probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
25°C or higher 43%
24°C 36%
23°C 16%
22°C 5%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
36%
25°C or higher
43%
25°C or higher 43%
24°C 36%
23°C 16%
22°C 5%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
36%
25°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico indicate a high near 22–24°C for Mexico City on September 9, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds limiting peak insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, but afternoon convection typical of the rainy season often caps temperatures below seasonal norms. Model spread in precipitation timing and cloud thickness creates uncertainty between 23°C and 25°C outcomes, as stronger heating under partial clearing could push readings higher while sustained rain would suppress them. Traders appear to weigh these variables against climatological baselines when assessing the closely matched 24°C and 25°C+ probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong