Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas shows a stable high-pressure ridge supporting mostly sunny skies and southerly flow, with afternoon highs forecast near 100–101°F on September 7. This places the most likely outcome in the 98–101°F range, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading at 98–99°F (51%) and 100–101°F (38.5%). The pattern exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 92°F, reflecting persistent late-summer warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that could moderate temperatures. Short-term model agreement remains high with little expected change before resolution, though minor forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service could still shift the final observed high within the leading bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Dallas on September 7?
98-99°F 51%
100-101°F 39%
104-105°F 11%
94-95°F 10%
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
39%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
11%
106-107°F
10%
108°F or higher
7%
98-99°F 51%
100-101°F 39%
104-105°F 11%
94-95°F 10%
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
39%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
11%
106-107°F
10%
108°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 5, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas shows a stable high-pressure ridge supporting mostly sunny skies and southerly flow, with afternoon highs forecast near 100–101°F on September 7. This places the most likely outcome in the 98–101°F range, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading at 98–99°F (51%) and 100–101°F (38.5%). The pattern exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 92°F, reflecting persistent late-summer warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that could moderate temperatures. Short-term model agreement remains high with little expected change before resolution, though minor forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service could still shift the final observed high within the leading bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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