Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a sunny, hot day in Dallas on September 6 with highs near 100°F under southerly flow and lingering moisture from the remnants of Tropical Storm Edouard. This setup supports heat indices above 105°F while keeping actual air temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with late-summer climatology for North Texas. Recent clearing skies and minimal precipitation have reinforced the warm, stable pattern, with limited model spread around the 99–101°F range. Traders have priced 98–101°F outcomes at nearly 90% combined implied probability, reflecting high confidence in official forecasts absent any rapid synoptic shift before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Dallas on September 6?
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 38%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F 6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
3%
106°F or higher
2%
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 38%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F 6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
3%
106°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a sunny, hot day in Dallas on September 6 with highs near 100°F under southerly flow and lingering moisture from the remnants of Tropical Storm Edouard. This setup supports heat indices above 105°F while keeping actual air temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with late-summer climatology for North Texas. Recent clearing skies and minimal precipitation have reinforced the warm, stable pattern, with limited model spread around the 99–101°F range. Traders have priced 98–101°F outcomes at nearly 90% combined implied probability, reflecting high confidence in official forecasts absent any rapid synoptic shift before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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