The southwest monsoon, or habagat, is the dominant driver shaping conditions for Manila's September 7 maximum temperature, with PAGASA forecasting scattered rains, thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover through the period. This moisture influx, following heavy rainfall impacts across Luzon into September 6, typically limits daytime heating and keeps highs near or slightly below the seasonal 31°C average. Official model consensus points to 29–32°C peaks amid 80%+ rain chances, with no tropical cyclone inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility to alter steering or intensity. Traders assess these factors against historical September extremes when evaluating implied probabilities for specific temperature thresholds, noting that any monsoon weakening or clearer breaks could allow modest warming before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on September 7?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 7?
31°C 30%
30°C 23%
29°C 22%
27°C 19%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 7, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
17%
27°C
19%
28°C
14%
29°C
22%
30°C
23%
31°C
30%
32°C
14%
33°C or higher
16%
31°C 30%
30°C 23%
29°C 22%
27°C 19%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 7, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
17%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$0 Vol.
23%
31°C
$0 Vol.
30%
32°C
$0 Vol.
14%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, is the dominant driver shaping conditions for Manila's September 7 maximum temperature, with PAGASA forecasting scattered rains, thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover through the period. This moisture influx, following heavy rainfall impacts across Luzon into September 6, typically limits daytime heating and keeps highs near or slightly below the seasonal 31°C average. Official model consensus points to 29–32°C peaks amid 80%+ rain chances, with no tropical cyclone inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility to alter steering or intensity. Traders assess these factors against historical September extremes when evaluating implied probabilities for specific temperature thresholds, noting that any monsoon weakening or clearer breaks could allow modest warming before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 5, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 5, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, is the dominant driver shaping conditions for Manila's September 7 maximum temperature, with PAGASA forecasting scattered rains, thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover through the period. This moisture influx, following heavy rainfall impacts across Luzon into September 6, typically limits daytime heating and keeps highs near or slightly below the seasonal 31°C average. Official model consensus points to 29–32°C peaks amid 80%+ rain chances, with no tropical cyclone inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility to alter steering or intensity. Traders assess these factors against historical September extremes when evaluating implied probabilities for specific temperature thresholds, noting that any monsoon weakening or clearer breaks could allow modest warming before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 5, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon, or habagat, is the dominant driver shaping conditions for Manila's September 7 maximum temperature, with PAGASA forecasting scattered rains, thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover through the period. This moisture influx, following heavy rainfall impacts across Luzon into September 6, typically limits daytime heating and keeps highs near or slightly below the seasonal 31°C average. Official model consensus points to 29–32°C peaks amid 80%+ rain chances, with no tropical cyclone inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility to alter steering or intensity. Traders assess these factors against historical September extremes when evaluating implied probabilities for specific temperature thresholds, noting that any monsoon weakening or clearer breaks could allow modest warming before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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