Latest ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS point to a daytime maximum of 24–26 °C in Paris on 5 September under building high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that support moderate solar heating without excessive warmth. This aligns with the September climatological average high of 23 °C while reflecting current stable synoptic conditions following recent mild early-September weather. Model consensus remains tight on the peak value, though small timing differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact maximum by 1 °C. Trader-implied probabilities accordingly cluster around the 24–26 °C outcomes, with limited weight on extremes given the absence of heat-advection signals or cold-air intrusions in the latest runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on September 5?
25°C 43%
26°C 27%
24°C 20%
23°C 10%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
20%
25°C
43%
26°C
27%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
3%
25°C 43%
26°C 27%
24°C 20%
23°C 10%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
20%
25°C
43%
26°C
27%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS point to a daytime maximum of 24–26 °C in Paris on 5 September under building high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that support moderate solar heating without excessive warmth. This aligns with the September climatological average high of 23 °C while reflecting current stable synoptic conditions following recent mild early-September weather. Model consensus remains tight on the peak value, though small timing differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact maximum by 1 °C. Trader-implied probabilities accordingly cluster around the 24–26 °C outcomes, with limited weight on extremes given the absence of heat-advection signals or cold-air intrusions in the latest runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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