**Official forecasts for Chicago on September 2, 2026, center on highs of 92–95°F, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes (94–95°F at 58.5% implied probability and 92–93°F at 35.5%).** The National Weather Service projects a sunny day with a high near 92°F and heat indices to 101°F under southwest winds of 5–15 mph, while private models such as WeatherBug anticipate mid-90s readings amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and continued humidity. This positioning reflects a strong late-summer warm-air advection pattern, with yesterday's record 95°F high at O'Hare and Midway—the hottest September start in over four decades—sustaining elevated temperatures. The 96–97°F bin (7.5%) captures limited upside from stronger insolation or delayed mixing, but most guidance shows modest cooling potential from afternoon cloud build-up or isolated storms. Lower bins remain unlikely given the entrenched heat dome and dew points supporting heat indices well above 100°F. Traders appear to weight the consensus of recent model runs and official NWS guidance, which emphasize the 92–95°F window as the most probable resolution range before any evening transition.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chicago on September 2?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 2?
94-95°F 69%
92-93°F 25%
96-97°F 6%
90-91°F 3%
$10,914 Vol.
$10,914 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
69%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 69%
92-93°F 25%
96-97°F 6%
90-91°F 3%
$10,914 Vol.
$10,914 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
83°F or below
$172 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$229 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$631 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$1,002 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$730 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$2,958 Vol.
25%
94-95°F
$2,721 Vol.
69%
96-97°F
$1,216 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$561 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$306 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts for Chicago on September 2, 2026, center on highs of 92–95°F, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes (94–95°F at 58.5% implied probability and 92–93°F at 35.5%).** The National Weather Service projects a sunny day with a high near 92°F and heat indices to 101°F under southwest winds of 5–15 mph, while private models such as WeatherBug anticipate mid-90s readings amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and continued humidity.
This positioning reflects a strong late-summer warm-air advection pattern, with yesterday's record 95°F high at O'Hare and Midway—the hottest September start in over four decades—sustaining elevated temperatures. The 96–97°F bin (7.5%) captures limited upside from stronger insolation or delayed mixing, but most guidance shows modest cooling potential from afternoon cloud build-up or isolated storms. Lower bins remain unlikely given the entrenched heat dome and dew points supporting heat indices well above 100°F.
Traders appear to weight the consensus of recent model runs and official NWS guidance, which emphasize the 92–95°F window as the most probable resolution range before any evening transition.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,914Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts for Chicago on September 2, 2026, center on highs of 92–95°F, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes (94–95°F at 58.5% implied probability and 92–93°F at 35.5%).** The National Weather Service projects a sunny day with a high near 92°F and heat indices to 101°F under southwest winds of 5–15 mph, while private models such as WeatherBug anticipate mid-90s readings amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and continued humidity.
This positioning reflects a strong late-summer warm-air advection pattern, with yesterday's record 95°F high at O'Hare and Midway—the hottest September start in over four decades—sustaining elevated temperatures. The 96–97°F bin (7.5%) captures limited upside from stronger insolation or delayed mixing, but most guidance shows modest cooling potential from afternoon cloud build-up or isolated storms. Lower bins remain unlikely given the entrenched heat dome and dew points supporting heat indices well above 100°F.
Traders appear to weight the consensus of recent model runs and official NWS guidance, which emphasize the 92–95°F window as the most probable resolution range before any evening transition.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,914Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts for Chicago on September 2, 2026, center on highs of 92–95°F, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes (94–95°F at 58.5% implied probability and 92–93°F at 35.5%).** The National Weather Service projects a sunny day with a high near 92°F and heat indices to 101°F under southwest winds of 5–15 mph, while private models such as WeatherBug anticipate mid-90s readings amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and continued humidity. This positioning reflects a strong late-summer warm-air advection pattern, with yesterday's record 95°F high at O'Hare and Midway—the hottest September start in over four decades—sustaining elevated temperatures. The 96–97°F bin (7.5%) captures limited upside from stronger insolation or delayed mixing, but most guidance shows modest cooling potential from afternoon cloud build-up or isolated storms. Lower bins remain unlikely given the entrenched heat dome and dew points supporting heat indices well above 100°F. Traders appear to weight the consensus of recent model runs and official NWS guidance, which emphasize the 92–95°F window as the most probable resolution range before any evening transition.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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