The closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on September 2 stem from short-term forecast model divergence under transitional early-autumn conditions. Official guidance shows lingering peripheral influences from western Pacific typhoon systems promoting increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating, while variable humidity and light northerly winds modulate boundary-layer mixing. Historical baselines place early-September maxima near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads often differing by 1–2°C due to uncertainties in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 2?
29°C 25%
30°C 24%
28°C 18%
31°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
18%
29°C
25%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 25%
30°C 24%
28°C 18%
31°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
18%
29°C
25%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on September 2 stem from short-term forecast model divergence under transitional early-autumn conditions. Official guidance shows lingering peripheral influences from western Pacific typhoon systems promoting increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating, while variable humidity and light northerly winds modulate boundary-layer mixing. Historical baselines place early-September maxima near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads often differing by 1–2°C due to uncertainties in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong