Current forecasts from multiple models place Beijing's August 31 high near the long-term average of 29°C under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, driving the market's concentration around 29–31°C outcomes. Recent cooling after mid-August warmth, combined with stable high pressure, supports this range while model spreads and minor timing shifts in peak heating create the observed uncertainty. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes clear conditions with limited precipitation risk, though any unexpected cloud build-up or wind changes could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
30°C 32%
31°C 23%
29°C 19%
28°C 11%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
11%
29°C
19%
30°C
32%
31°C
23%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
31°C 23%
29°C 19%
28°C 11%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
11%
29°C
19%
30°C
32%
31°C
23%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models place Beijing's August 31 high near the long-term average of 29°C under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, driving the market's concentration around 29–31°C outcomes. Recent cooling after mid-August warmth, combined with stable high pressure, supports this range while model spreads and minor timing shifts in peak heating create the observed uncertainty. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes clear conditions with limited precipitation risk, though any unexpected cloud build-up or wind changes could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C either way before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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