Recent forecasts from multiple models and official sources converge on a maximum temperature of 32°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring southeast winds, high humidity near 80%, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. These factors limit extreme heating while sustaining warmth near seasonal norms, with dew points around 26–27°C contributing to heat index values above the air temperature. Trader emphasis on the 32°C outcome reflects model agreement and the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or clearer skies that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Updated runs show only modest variability, keeping lower probabilities on 31°C or 34°C+ thresholds ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
32°C 57%
31°C 24%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
$17,445 Vol.
$17,445 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
57%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 24%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
$17,445 Vol.
$17,445 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
57%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and official sources converge on a maximum temperature of 32°C for Shanghai on August 29, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions featuring southeast winds, high humidity near 80%, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. These factors limit extreme heating while sustaining warmth near seasonal norms, with dew points around 26–27°C contributing to heat index values above the air temperature. Trader emphasis on the 32°C outcome reflects model agreement and the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or clearer skies that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Updated runs show only modest variability, keeping lower probabilities on 31°C or 34°C+ thresholds ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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