**Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies (GFS, ECMWF) currently indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C for London on August 28, 2026, with southwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and only limited sunshine.** This setup favors modest daytime heating after overnight lows near 16–17°C, producing market-implied odds of 45.5% for exactly 24°C and 30% for 23°C as the leading outcomes. Partly cloudy conditions and 10–16 mph winds should cap peak readings near these levels, consistent with the 15.5% probability assigned to 25°C or higher. Recent model runs show only minor spread, reflecting typical late-summer variability rather than a strong warm anomaly or blocking pattern. Updated forecasts and any shifts in cloud or wind timing remain the key near-term drivers that could nudge probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on August 28?
24°C 37%
23°C 30%
25°C or higher 15%
22°C 12%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
12%
23°C
30%
24°C
37%
25°C or higher
15%
24°C 37%
23°C 30%
25°C or higher 15%
22°C 12%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
12%
23°C
30%
24°C
37%
25°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies (GFS, ECMWF) currently indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C for London on August 28, 2026, with southwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and only limited sunshine.** This setup favors modest daytime heating after overnight lows near 16–17°C, producing market-implied odds of 45.5% for exactly 24°C and 30% for 23°C as the leading outcomes. Partly cloudy conditions and 10–16 mph winds should cap peak readings near these levels, consistent with the 15.5% probability assigned to 25°C or higher. Recent model runs show only minor spread, reflecting typical late-summer variability rather than a strong warm anomaly or blocking pattern. Updated forecasts and any shifts in cloud or wind timing remain the key near-term drivers that could nudge probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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