Current Met Office observations and forecast models for London on August 29, 2026, show a minimum temperature stabilizing near 17–18°C overnight under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly winds, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for 18°C. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, consistent with official readings from stations like Heathrow and London City Airport that align with the 16–18°C range reported across multiple updates. Historical August averages for the city fall around 13°C lows, but recent model consensus and real-time data have ruled out sharper drops. A late unexpected clearing of cloud cover could allow additional cooling toward 16°C or below before midnight, though current pressure trends and wind patterns make this scenario improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on August 29?
18°C 99.5%
17°C 3.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$10,609 Vol.
$10,609 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.5%
17°C 3.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$10,609 Vol.
$10,609 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office observations and forecast models for London on August 29, 2026, show a minimum temperature stabilizing near 17–18°C overnight under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly winds, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for 18°C. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, consistent with official readings from stations like Heathrow and London City Airport that align with the 16–18°C range reported across multiple updates. Historical August averages for the city fall around 13°C lows, but recent model consensus and real-time data have ruled out sharper drops. A late unexpected clearing of cloud cover could allow additional cooling toward 16°C or below before midnight, though current pressure trends and wind patterns make this scenario improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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