**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 22°C (34.5%) and 23°C (32.5%), with 21°C at 19% and 24°C at 11.5%.** This reflects the latest forecast consensus from models such as ECMWF and GFS for a modest daily maximum near 21–23°C at the official Paris-Le Bourget station. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or light rain (with probabilities of 20–98% in afternoon hours across sources), and southwesterly flow limit solar heating while promoting evaporative cooling and mixing. These factors keep the peak well below the late-August climatological average high of 24.1°C. Ensemble differences stem mainly from variations in shower timing, boundary-layer mixing, and wind gusts of 20–30 km/h, which can shift observed maxima by 1–2°C. Current observations and short-range guidance reinforce this cooler-than-normal regime, explaining the market's emphasis on the narrow 21–23°C band while assigning only modest probability to warmer outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on August 29?
22°C 33%
23°C 33%
21°C 16%
24°C 12%
$32,956 Vol.
$32,956 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
16%
22°C
33%
23°C
33%
24°C
12%
25°C or higher
4%
22°C 33%
23°C 33%
21°C 16%
24°C 12%
$32,956 Vol.
$32,956 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
16%
22°C
33%
23°C
33%
24°C
12%
25°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 22°C (34.5%) and 23°C (32.5%), with 21°C at 19% and 24°C at 11.5%.** This reflects the latest forecast consensus from models such as ECMWF and GFS for a modest daily maximum near 21–23°C at the official Paris-Le Bourget station. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or light rain (with probabilities of 20–98% in afternoon hours across sources), and southwesterly flow limit solar heating while promoting evaporative cooling and mixing. These factors keep the peak well below the late-August climatological average high of 24.1°C. Ensemble differences stem mainly from variations in shower timing, boundary-layer mixing, and wind gusts of 20–30 km/h, which can shift observed maxima by 1–2°C. Current observations and short-range guidance reinforce this cooler-than-normal regime, explaining the market's emphasis on the narrow 21–23°C band while assigning only modest probability to warmer outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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