**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and a mild southwesterly flow are keeping overnight lows elevated near 19–20 °C for Toronto on August 30, 2026.** Official forecasts from Environment Canada and multiple models show the minimum temperature stabilizing around 19 °C under overcast skies and periods of rain, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points near 15–17 °C and light winds further suppress temperature drops. This setup produces a warmer-than-average night relative to the late-August climatological low of ~16 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 19 °C and 20 °C because model runs show only modest differences in timing and intensity of showers, with little divergence on the key threshold. A modest shift in cloud timing or precipitation could easily tip the outcome between these two values, explaining the close probabilities and limited support for outcomes below 18 °C or above 21 °C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Toronto on August 30?
19°C 36%
20°C 34%
18°C 27%
16°C 25%
14°C or below
12%
15°C
14%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
36%
20°C
34%
21°C
6%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
16%
19°C 36%
20°C 34%
18°C 27%
16°C 25%
14°C or below
12%
15°C
14%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
36%
20°C
34%
21°C
6%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and a mild southwesterly flow are keeping overnight lows elevated near 19–20 °C for Toronto on August 30, 2026.** Official forecasts from Environment Canada and multiple models show the minimum temperature stabilizing around 19 °C under overcast skies and periods of rain, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points near 15–17 °C and light winds further suppress temperature drops. This setup produces a warmer-than-average night relative to the late-August climatological low of ~16 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 19 °C and 20 °C because model runs show only modest differences in timing and intensity of showers, with little divergence on the key threshold. A modest shift in cloud timing or precipitation could easily tip the outcome between these two values, explaining the close probabilities and limited support for outcomes below 18 °C or above 21 °C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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