Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 31 indicates a persistent marine layer with mostly cloudy skies, onshore southwest winds of 10-20 mph, and highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s °F—well below the long-term average of ~70 °F. This pattern, driven by a compressed marine layer and fresh northwest flow, limits daytime solar heating and favors the market's leading 64-67 °F bins. Differentiation among close outcomes hinges on the timing and extent of any afternoon clearing, exact wind speeds, and whether the official downtown or airport reading captures brief warming; stronger onshore flow or thicker stratus would cap readings near 64 °F, while modest thinning could push into the upper 60s. Updated model runs and marine forecasts through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
66-67°F 36%
64-65°F 27%
68-69°F 18%
70-71°F 17%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
2%
76°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 36%
64-65°F 27%
68-69°F 18%
70-71°F 17%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
2%
76°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 31 indicates a persistent marine layer with mostly cloudy skies, onshore southwest winds of 10-20 mph, and highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s °F—well below the long-term average of ~70 °F. This pattern, driven by a compressed marine layer and fresh northwest flow, limits daytime solar heating and favors the market's leading 64-67 °F bins. Differentiation among close outcomes hinges on the timing and extent of any afternoon clearing, exact wind speeds, and whether the official downtown or airport reading captures brief warming; stronger onshore flow or thicker stratus would cap readings near 64 °F, while modest thinning could push into the upper 60s. Updated model runs and marine forecasts through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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