Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a transient warm anomaly over São Paulo driven by a dry, subsiding air mass, with recent highs reaching 34–36°C, well above the August climatological average of 22–25°C. However, a approaching cold front and shift to northeasterly flow are expected to moderate temperatures on August 31, limiting afternoon maxima amid increasing cloud cover and a low probability of showers. This pattern supports the market’s emphasis on 29°C or below and 30°C as leading outcomes, reflecting model consensus around 31–33°C with uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the frontal passage. Updated runs from agencies like INMET or the GFS/ECMWF will be key ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31?
29°C or below 41%
30°C 22%
32°C 14%
31°C 13%
29°C or below
41%
30°C
22%
31°C
13%
32°C
14%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
29°C or below 41%
30°C 22%
32°C 14%
31°C 13%
29°C or below
41%
30°C
22%
31°C
13%
32°C
14%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a transient warm anomaly over São Paulo driven by a dry, subsiding air mass, with recent highs reaching 34–36°C, well above the August climatological average of 22–25°C. However, a approaching cold front and shift to northeasterly flow are expected to moderate temperatures on August 31, limiting afternoon maxima amid increasing cloud cover and a low probability of showers. This pattern supports the market’s emphasis on 29°C or below and 30°C as leading outcomes, reflecting model consensus around 31–33°C with uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the frontal passage. Updated runs from agencies like INMET or the GFS/ECMWF will be key ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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