A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving the leading market-implied probabilities for a 33–34 °C peak on August 29 in São Paulo. Multiple forecast models, including Meteoblue and ensemble guidance referenced in local reporting, show mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northerly winds and low humidity favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud suppression. Official outlooks cluster between 31–35 °C, with 33–34 °C emerging as the consensus range given typical August climatology and the absence of precipitation or stronger onshore flow that could moderate temperatures. Recent model runs have shown limited variability, supporting trader positioning around these central outcomes while leaving modest probability for a 35 °C outlier under clearer skies.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
34°C 43%
33°C 29%
35°C 18%
32°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
29%
34°C
43%
35°C
18%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 29%
35°C 18%
32°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
28°C or below
$42 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$143 Vol.
2%
31°C
$30 Vol.
3%
32°C
$409 Vol.
7%
33°C
$163 Vol.
29%
34°C
$410 Vol.
43%
35°C
$653 Vol.
18%
36°C
$120 Vol.
5%
37°C
$205 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$1,469 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving the leading market-implied probabilities for a 33–34 °C peak on August 29 in São Paulo. Multiple forecast models, including Meteoblue and ensemble guidance referenced in local reporting, show mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northerly winds and low humidity favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud suppression. Official outlooks cluster between 31–35 °C, with 33–34 °C emerging as the consensus range given typical August climatology and the absence of precipitation or stronger onshore flow that could moderate temperatures. Recent model runs have shown limited variability, supporting trader positioning around these central outcomes while leaving modest probability for a 35 °C outlier under clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$3,266Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving the leading market-implied probabilities for a 33–34 °C peak on August 29 in São Paulo. Multiple forecast models, including Meteoblue and ensemble guidance referenced in local reporting, show mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northerly winds and low humidity favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud suppression. Official outlooks cluster between 31–35 °C, with 33–34 °C emerging as the consensus range given typical August climatology and the absence of precipitation or stronger onshore flow that could moderate temperatures. Recent model runs have shown limited variability, supporting trader positioning around these central outcomes while leaving modest probability for a 35 °C outlier under clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,266Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving the leading market-implied probabilities for a 33–34 °C peak on August 29 in São Paulo. Multiple forecast models, including Meteoblue and ensemble guidance referenced in local reporting, show mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northerly winds and low humidity favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud suppression. Official outlooks cluster between 31–35 °C, with 33–34 °C emerging as the consensus range given typical August climatology and the absence of precipitation or stronger onshore flow that could moderate temperatures. Recent model runs have shown limited variability, supporting trader positioning around these central outcomes while leaving modest probability for a 35 °C outlier under clearer skies.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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