Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a highest temperature of 15–17°C in Cape Town on August 30, driven by persistent southerly flow of cool maritime air off the Benguela Current and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Typical mid-winter conditions in this Mediterranean climate zone feature moderate highs near the 19°C August average, but current high-pressure influence and lack of warm advection keep readings suppressed, aligning with observed trends from the past week. Traders assign the strongest implied probabilities to 16–17°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows little variability around these values ahead of the daily maximum, with only minor model spread on cloud cover or wind strength potentially nudging readings by 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
17°C 43%
16°C 22%
18°C 19%
15°C 5%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
22%
17°C
43%
18°C
19%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 43%
16°C 22%
18°C 19%
15°C 5%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
22%
17°C
43%
18°C
19%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a highest temperature of 15–17°C in Cape Town on August 30, driven by persistent southerly flow of cool maritime air off the Benguela Current and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Typical mid-winter conditions in this Mediterranean climate zone feature moderate highs near the 19°C August average, but current high-pressure influence and lack of warm advection keep readings suppressed, aligning with observed trends from the past week. Traders assign the strongest implied probabilities to 16–17°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows little variability around these values ahead of the daily maximum, with only minor model spread on cloud cover or wind strength potentially nudging readings by 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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