Forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles show overnight lows in Mexico City clustered near 12–14°C on August 30, producing tightly matched market odds across those thresholds. Mexico City’s highland subtropical climate at roughly 2,300 m elevation enables efficient radiative cooling under clear skies, yet scattered convection and variable cloud cover during the peak rainy season can limit temperature drops by several degrees through reduced outgoing longwave radiation and latent-heat effects. Recent August observations indicate typical minima of 12–14°C with occasional dips to 10–11°C under drier conditions, while forecast spread across runs reflects uncertainty in timing and intensity of showers. Updated model guidance and station data near resolution will likely refine trader consensus on the precise minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
13°C 28%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
10°C 26%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C or higher
24%
13°C 28%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
10°C 26%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles show overnight lows in Mexico City clustered near 12–14°C on August 30, producing tightly matched market odds across those thresholds. Mexico City’s highland subtropical climate at roughly 2,300 m elevation enables efficient radiative cooling under clear skies, yet scattered convection and variable cloud cover during the peak rainy season can limit temperature drops by several degrees through reduced outgoing longwave radiation and latent-heat effects. Recent August observations indicate typical minima of 12–14°C with occasional dips to 10–11°C under drier conditions, while forecast spread across runs reflects uncertainty in timing and intensity of showers. Updated model guidance and station data near resolution will likely refine trader consensus on the precise minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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