Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a minimum of 12–14°C for Mexico City on August 31, driven by persistent low-level moisture from the Pacific, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Model consensus across multiple sources aligns with this range, consistent with observed August lows near 12–13°C and typical seasonal patterns under similar synoptic setups. Trader odds cluster tightly around 12–15°C outcomes while assigning meaningful probability to cooler extremes, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and local microclimate variations ahead of the final 24-hour forecast updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 31?
7°C or below 53%
10°C 48%
11°C 48%
16°C 48%
7°C or below
53%
8°C
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
48%
11°C
48%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
48%
17°C or higher
47%
7°C or below 53%
10°C 48%
11°C 48%
16°C 48%
7°C or below
53%
8°C
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
48%
11°C
48%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
48%
17°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a minimum of 12–14°C for Mexico City on August 31, driven by persistent low-level moisture from the Pacific, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Model consensus across multiple sources aligns with this range, consistent with observed August lows near 12–13°C and typical seasonal patterns under similar synoptic setups. Trader odds cluster tightly around 12–15°C outcomes while assigning meaningful probability to cooler extremes, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and local microclimate variations ahead of the final 24-hour forecast updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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