Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and Yandex Weather indicate a daytime high in Moscow of 19–22°C on August 29 under variable cloudiness with possible light showers and light southerly winds. This positions 21°C as the market leader at 61% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C, as model consensus and early observations cluster near the long-term average high of roughly 20°C for the date. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of outcomes heavily, with only minor probability assigned to 22°C or higher given limited intensification potential from current atmospheric conditions. Updated guidance released on August 28–29 has reinforced this tight distribution ahead of final temperature readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
21°C 61%
20°C 29%
22°C 9%
19°C 3%
$16,817 Vol.
$16,817 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
29%
21°C
61%
22°C
9%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 61%
20°C 29%
22°C 9%
19°C 3%
$16,817 Vol.
$16,817 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
29%
21°C
61%
22°C
9%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and Yandex Weather indicate a daytime high in Moscow of 19–22°C on August 29 under variable cloudiness with possible light showers and light southerly winds. This positions 21°C as the market leader at 61% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C, as model consensus and early observations cluster near the long-term average high of roughly 20°C for the date. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of outcomes heavily, with only minor probability assigned to 22°C or higher given limited intensification potential from current atmospheric conditions. Updated guidance released on August 28–29 has reinforced this tight distribution ahead of final temperature readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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