Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum of 24–26 °C in Mexico City on August 30, driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and a 40–60 % chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that can limit solar heating. At the city’s 2,240 m elevation, reduced insolation from convective clouds and evaporative cooling from rain are the key variables separating a 24 °C peak from 25 °C or 26 °C-plus outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with historical late-August highs averaging near 23 °C; traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to 24 °C and 25 °C while assigning lower probability to extremes outside the official envelope.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
24°C 37%
25°C 37%
26°C or higher 15%
23°C 12%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
37%
25°C
37%
26°C or higher
15%
24°C 37%
25°C 37%
26°C or higher 15%
23°C 12%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
37%
25°C
37%
26°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum of 24–26 °C in Mexico City on August 30, driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and a 40–60 % chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that can limit solar heating. At the city’s 2,240 m elevation, reduced insolation from convective clouds and evaporative cooling from rain are the key variables separating a 24 °C peak from 25 °C or 26 °C-plus outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with historical late-August highs averaging near 23 °C; traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to 24 °C and 25 °C while assigning lower probability to extremes outside the official envelope.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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