Current ensemble forecasts from Mexican meteorological agencies and global models point to a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Mexico City on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and elevated moisture from the ongoing rainy season and tropical wave activity. These factors suppress peak solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter altitude, where typical late-August highs reach 24–26°C under clearer skies. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23°C and 24°C reflects genuine uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity across model runs, with heavier or earlier precipitation favoring the lower end of the distribution and any brief clearing potentially allowing brief warming to 25°C. Updated guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
24°C 35%
23°C 31%
22°C 21%
25°C 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
21%
23°C
31%
24°C
35%
25°C
15%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
6%
24°C 35%
23°C 31%
22°C 21%
25°C 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$59 Vol.
5%
21°C
$5 Vol.
6%
22°C
$30 Vol.
21%
23°C
$130 Vol.
31%
24°C
$48 Vol.
35%
25°C
$38 Vol.
15%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from Mexican meteorological agencies and global models point to a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Mexico City on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and elevated moisture from the ongoing rainy season and tropical wave activity. These factors suppress peak solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter altitude, where typical late-August highs reach 24–26°C under clearer skies. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23°C and 24°C reflects genuine uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity across model runs, with heavier or earlier precipitation favoring the lower end of the distribution and any brief clearing potentially allowing brief warming to 25°C. Updated guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$317Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from Mexican meteorological agencies and global models point to a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Mexico City on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and elevated moisture from the ongoing rainy season and tropical wave activity. These factors suppress peak solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter altitude, where typical late-August highs reach 24–26°C under clearer skies. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23°C and 24°C reflects genuine uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity across model runs, with heavier or earlier precipitation favoring the lower end of the distribution and any brief clearing potentially allowing brief warming to 25°C. Updated guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$317Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from Mexican meteorological agencies and global models point to a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Mexico City on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and elevated moisture from the ongoing rainy season and tropical wave activity. These factors suppress peak solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter altitude, where typical late-August highs reach 24–26°C under clearer skies. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23°C and 24°C reflects genuine uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity across model runs, with heavier or earlier precipitation favoring the lower end of the distribution and any brief clearing potentially allowing brief warming to 25°C. Updated guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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