**Market-implied odds favor a lowest temperature near 21–22°C for São Paulo on August 29, 2026, with 22°C leading at 66.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models, which project an overnight minimum around 20–22°C (roughly 68–72°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity near 60%. Southern Hemisphere winter norms for late August typically feature lows near 15°C (59°F), but persistent warmer-than-average conditions—driven by limited cold-air advection and elevated daytime highs reaching 30–34°C—have kept nighttime cooling modest. Recent hourly guidance shows the temperature bottoming near 21.2°C in the early morning hours before rising, consistent with observed trends of above-average readings throughout the month. Traders are weighting these model outputs heavily because the day is already well advanced, leaving little time for major shifts from unexpected fronts or rapid radiative cooling. Resolution depends on the official station minimum (likely from São Paulo’s primary meteorological site), with any final adjustments to model runs or observational data the key remaining variable before markets settle.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
18°C 1%
19°C 1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$1,555 Vol.
$1,555 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
29%
21°C
38%
22°C
62%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 1%
19°C 1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$1,555 Vol.
$1,555 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
$56 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$287 Vol.
1%
15°C
$59 Vol.
1%
16°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$111 Vol.
1%
19°C
$115 Vol.
1%
20°C
$156 Vol.
29%
21°C
$28 Vol.
38%
22°C
$202 Vol.
62%
23°C or higher
$290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a lowest temperature near 21–22°C for São Paulo on August 29, 2026, with 22°C leading at 66.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models, which project an overnight minimum around 20–22°C (roughly 68–72°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity near 60%.
Southern Hemisphere winter norms for late August typically feature lows near 15°C (59°F), but persistent warmer-than-average conditions—driven by limited cold-air advection and elevated daytime highs reaching 30–34°C—have kept nighttime cooling modest. Recent hourly guidance shows the temperature bottoming near 21.2°C in the early morning hours before rising, consistent with observed trends of above-average readings throughout the month.
Traders are weighting these model outputs heavily because the day is already well advanced, leaving little time for major shifts from unexpected fronts or rapid radiative cooling. Resolution depends on the official station minimum (likely from São Paulo’s primary meteorological site), with any final adjustments to model runs or observational data the key remaining variable before markets settle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,555Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a lowest temperature near 21–22°C for São Paulo on August 29, 2026, with 22°C leading at 66.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models, which project an overnight minimum around 20–22°C (roughly 68–72°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity near 60%.
Southern Hemisphere winter norms for late August typically feature lows near 15°C (59°F), but persistent warmer-than-average conditions—driven by limited cold-air advection and elevated daytime highs reaching 30–34°C—have kept nighttime cooling modest. Recent hourly guidance shows the temperature bottoming near 21.2°C in the early morning hours before rising, consistent with observed trends of above-average readings throughout the month.
Traders are weighting these model outputs heavily because the day is already well advanced, leaving little time for major shifts from unexpected fronts or rapid radiative cooling. Resolution depends on the official station minimum (likely from São Paulo’s primary meteorological site), with any final adjustments to model runs or observational data the key remaining variable before markets settle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,555Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a lowest temperature near 21–22°C for São Paulo on August 29, 2026, with 22°C leading at 66.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models, which project an overnight minimum around 20–22°C (roughly 68–72°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity near 60%. Southern Hemisphere winter norms for late August typically feature lows near 15°C (59°F), but persistent warmer-than-average conditions—driven by limited cold-air advection and elevated daytime highs reaching 30–34°C—have kept nighttime cooling modest. Recent hourly guidance shows the temperature bottoming near 21.2°C in the early morning hours before rising, consistent with observed trends of above-average readings throughout the month. Traders are weighting these model outputs heavily because the day is already well advanced, leaving little time for major shifts from unexpected fronts or rapid radiative cooling. Resolution depends on the official station minimum (likely from São Paulo’s primary meteorological site), with any final adjustments to model runs or observational data the key remaining variable before markets settle.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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