Recent observations from the National Weather Service confirm a minimum temperature of 74°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 74-75°F outcome at 58.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and weak onshore flow suppressed typical marine layer cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated above the 1991-2020 normal of 65°F amid an ongoing heat episode with daytime maxima reaching 96°F. This setup produced minimal diurnal temperature range, consistent with late-August climatology under similar ridging patterns. Traders appear to have incorporated official station data and model guidance showing limited overnight relief, positioning 72-73°F as the secondary outcome at 39% while assigning negligible weight to cooler bins below 70°F.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
65°F or below 40%
66-67°F 7%
68-69°F 2%
70-71°F 1%
$744 Vol.
$744 Vol.
65°F or below
40%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
55%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
65°F or below 40%
66-67°F 7%
68-69°F 2%
70-71°F 1%
$744 Vol.
$744 Vol.
65°F or below
40%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
55%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations from the National Weather Service confirm a minimum temperature of 74°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 74-75°F outcome at 58.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and weak onshore flow suppressed typical marine layer cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated above the 1991-2020 normal of 65°F amid an ongoing heat episode with daytime maxima reaching 96°F. This setup produced minimal diurnal temperature range, consistent with late-August climatology under similar ridging patterns. Traders appear to have incorporated official station data and model guidance showing limited overnight relief, positioning 72-73°F as the secondary outcome at 39% while assigning negligible weight to cooler bins below 70°F.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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