Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow supporting a daily maximum in the mid-to-upper 90s across Houston on August 30, with heat indices near 105–107°F. Persistent subtropical high pressure has limited cloud cover and moisture convergence, favoring strong diurnal heating on top of already above-normal August temperatures. Afternoon sea-breeze or isolated convection could trim the peak by 1–2°F if it develops earlier than expected, while drier boundary-layer air would allow readings to reach 97–98°F. Historical climatology shows an average high near 92°F, so the current pattern sits several degrees above baseline. Market-implied odds reflect tight clustering around 94–97°F because small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts can shift the observed maximum across the 95–96°F threshold before official verification at Hobby or Bush Intercontinental.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Houston on August 30?
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 36%
92-93°F 14%
98-99°F 9%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
2%
102°F or higher
1%
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 36%
92-93°F 14%
98-99°F 9%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
2%
102°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow supporting a daily maximum in the mid-to-upper 90s across Houston on August 30, with heat indices near 105–107°F. Persistent subtropical high pressure has limited cloud cover and moisture convergence, favoring strong diurnal heating on top of already above-normal August temperatures. Afternoon sea-breeze or isolated convection could trim the peak by 1–2°F if it develops earlier than expected, while drier boundary-layer air would allow readings to reach 97–98°F. Historical climatology shows an average high near 92°F, so the current pattern sits several degrees above baseline. Market-implied odds reflect tight clustering around 94–97°F because small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts can shift the observed maximum across the 95–96°F threshold before official verification at Hobby or Bush Intercontinental.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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