Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 28?
16°C 100.0%
15°C 1.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$2,207 Vol.
$2,207 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
15°C 1.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$2,207 Vol.
$2,207 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from stations including São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a daily minimum temperature of 16°C on August 28, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air typical of late-winter conditions in the region. This aligns closely with National Weather Service and regional forecast models projecting overnight lows near that threshold, consistent with climatological averages of 15–17°C for the date and the absence of cold fronts or enhanced radiative cooling. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability on 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified station readings as the resolution source. Minor uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations across urban stations or potential post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are released.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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