Recent official and model guidance from sources such as GFS and European ensembles points to partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and modest insolation, supporting a daily maximum in Warsaw near 26–27 °C on 30 August. Ensemble spread and small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create roughly equal odds for those two values, while the lower probability attached to 28 °C reflects limited upside potential from stronger diurnal heating. Historical August maxima in the city average around 25 °C, providing context for the narrow range currently priced by traders. Updated model runs and any late-day convective development will be the next catalysts likely to shift the tight distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
27°C 48%
26°C 39%
28°C 10%
25°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
39%
27°C
48%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
26°C 39%
28°C 10%
25°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$256 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$348 Vol.
7%
26°C
$495 Vol.
39%
27°C
$983 Vol.
48%
28°C
$507 Vol.
10%
29°C
$278 Vol.
2%
30°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model guidance from sources such as GFS and European ensembles points to partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and modest insolation, supporting a daily maximum in Warsaw near 26–27 °C on 30 August. Ensemble spread and small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create roughly equal odds for those two values, while the lower probability attached to 28 °C reflects limited upside potential from stronger diurnal heating. Historical August maxima in the city average around 25 °C, providing context for the narrow range currently priced by traders. Updated model runs and any late-day convective development will be the next catalysts likely to shift the tight distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,332Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model guidance from sources such as GFS and European ensembles points to partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and modest insolation, supporting a daily maximum in Warsaw near 26–27 °C on 30 August. Ensemble spread and small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create roughly equal odds for those two values, while the lower probability attached to 28 °C reflects limited upside potential from stronger diurnal heating. Historical August maxima in the city average around 25 °C, providing context for the narrow range currently priced by traders. Updated model runs and any late-day convective development will be the next catalysts likely to shift the tight distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,332Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and model guidance from sources such as GFS and European ensembles points to partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and modest insolation, supporting a daily maximum in Warsaw near 26–27 °C on 30 August. Ensemble spread and small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create roughly equal odds for those two values, while the lower probability attached to 28 °C reflects limited upside potential from stronger diurnal heating. Historical August maxima in the city average around 25 °C, providing context for the narrow range currently priced by traders. Updated model runs and any late-day convective development will be the next catalysts likely to shift the tight distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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