Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with KNMI and ECMWF guidance, indicate a peak temperature in Amsterdam on August 27 likely in the 26–28°C range due to southeasterly flow and partial cloud cover moderating solar heating ahead of an approaching frontal system. This positions 27°C as the leading market outcome at 36% implied probability, followed closely by 28°C and 26°C, reflecting ensemble spread and minor timing differences in cloud or shower development. Warmer-than-climatological conditions (historical late-August highs near 21–22°C) support the clustering, though afternoon rain chances introduce downside risk to the upper end. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24 hours will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
27°C 36%
28°C 24%
26°C 22%
29°C 11%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
36%
28°C
24%
29°C
11%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 36%
28°C 24%
26°C 22%
29°C 11%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
36%
28°C
24%
29°C
11%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with KNMI and ECMWF guidance, indicate a peak temperature in Amsterdam on August 27 likely in the 26–28°C range due to southeasterly flow and partial cloud cover moderating solar heating ahead of an approaching frontal system. This positions 27°C as the leading market outcome at 36% implied probability, followed closely by 28°C and 26°C, reflecting ensemble spread and minor timing differences in cloud or shower development. Warmer-than-climatological conditions (historical late-August highs near 21–22°C) support the clustering, though afternoon rain chances introduce downside risk to the upper end. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24 hours will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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