Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high near 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes amid 34% and 24% implied probabilities. Variable North Sea flow and possible light showers introduce modest uncertainty in maximum temperatures, as onshore winds can suppress peaks while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical August variability, with typical highs near 22°C but occasional excursions above 25°C under continental influence, underscores why traders spread bets across 23–26°C. Updated forecast runs and observational data on pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
25°C 34%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
24°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
16%
24°C
25%
25°C
34%
26°C
14%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
24°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$25 Vol.
2%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$30 Vol.
6%
23°C
$101 Vol.
16%
24°C
$190 Vol.
25%
25°C
$41 Vol.
34%
26°C
$205 Vol.
14%
27°C
$20 Vol.
7%
28°C
$5 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high near 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes amid 34% and 24% implied probabilities. Variable North Sea flow and possible light showers introduce modest uncertainty in maximum temperatures, as onshore winds can suppress peaks while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical August variability, with typical highs near 22°C but occasional excursions above 25°C under continental influence, underscores why traders spread bets across 23–26°C. Updated forecast runs and observational data on pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$622Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high near 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes amid 34% and 24% implied probabilities. Variable North Sea flow and possible light showers introduce modest uncertainty in maximum temperatures, as onshore winds can suppress peaks while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical August variability, with typical highs near 22°C but occasional excursions above 25°C under continental influence, underscores why traders spread bets across 23–26°C. Updated forecast runs and observational data on pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$622Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high near 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes amid 34% and 24% implied probabilities. Variable North Sea flow and possible light showers introduce modest uncertainty in maximum temperatures, as onshore winds can suppress peaks while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical August variability, with typical highs near 22°C but occasional excursions above 25°C under continental influence, underscores why traders spread bets across 23–26°C. Updated forecast runs and observational data on pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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